Final Investment Scenario Result

At our last stage, we shared four investment scenarios of projects with our implementing project champions (locality staff and operators) and the broader community to gather their input.

The Public: 85.95% of public respondents (104 out of 121) expressed a strong preference for Mode Shift.

Project Champions (this includes locality staff and operators): overwhelmingly preferred Traditional Usage.

Following that feedback, the LRTP Advisory Work Group met to develop a new consensus scenario with new locality updates to balance the two perspectives. Alignment amongst our localities and operators is critical for two reasons:

1. If a project lacks local support, it is highly unlikely to be developed anyway, even if it remains in our plan.
2. If we leave out key local priorities now, it usually leads to a need for plan amendments down the road.

Funding is always a consideration, and the initial draft of this constrained plan exceeded our budget by approximately $500 million. To solve that $500 million gap, we entered the final step: a collaborative, negotiated process where the LRTP Advisory Work Group meticulously worked through the project list to deliver a strictly constrained plan (projects we can reasonably fund between now and 2050).

To achieve this, the workgroup settled on a three-pronged strategy:

• Removed proposed highway widening projects that weren't ready or likely to advance anytime soon.
• Made tough calls to remove some projects that were local priorities.
• Strategically added a few key active transportation and transit projects to keep moving forward.

Ultimately, the group reached a full consensus, creating a balanced, financially sound, consensus scenario project list that was officially advanced to the policy board for final approval on April 23, 2026.

This consensus scenario accomplishes two critical goals:

1. Achieves strict fiscal constraint. Every single project included in this list fits squarely within our projected revenue forecasts through 2050, which fully satisfies our federal regulatory requirements.
2. Maintains strong strategic alignment. It successfully reflects the priorities voiced by both the public and our subject matter expert and locality stakeholders, while directly addressing the critical bottlenecks and safety concerns identified in models.

In the final consensus scenario, we have a total of:

• 121 projects
• Valued of approx. $7.9 billion

Mode	Projects	% of Identified Needs Addressed
Active Transportation	21	100%
Transit	9	64%
Travel Demand Management	5	63%
Highway	86	61%

Active Transportation (bicycle and pedestrian):
Fully funding 21 projects at over $676 million, meeting 100% of the identified needs in this category.

Transit:
Features 9 projects totaling $1.45 billion, which addresses roughly two-thirds of our regional transit needs. 64% of proposed needs met.

Travel Demand Management (reducing congestion, i.e. park and ride, HOV lanes):
Includes 5 projects valued at over $41 million. 63% of identified needs met.

Highway:
This makes up the largest share with 86 projects valued at $5.7 billion. 61% of identified needs met.

On April 23rd, 2026, the Richmond Region Transportation Planning Organization (RRTPO) Policy Board adopted a transportation investment package reflecting both public feedback and locality representative LRTP advisory workgroup input.

View the LRTP board presentation and meeting recording for additional information and to hear public comment.